You are here: Home > Betting Analysis > Breaking Down UFC 144 Co-Main Event: Rampage Jackson Vs. Ryan Bader
Posted on February 21, 2012 by John Petit
Ryan Bader entered into the UFC by winning the 8th season of The Ultimate Fighter, and went on to quickly pile up wins. At 5 and 0 in the UFC, and after beating Antonio Rogerio Noguiera, it was no shock that they announced a fight between him and Jon Jones. They had seem to be on a collision course since they were both winning fights. Bader dropped the fight to the now Light Heavyweight Champion, and he was handed his first professional loss. He would go on to fight Tito Ortiz, and after being dropped for the first time in his career, Ortiz was able to submit him with a guillotine joke. The Arizona State Division 1 All American was able to right the ship with a knock out win over Jason Brilz, and now the table is set to fight Jackson.
Former Pride and UFC Light Heavyweight Champion Quinton Rampage Jackson is going to have the experience advantage. Few are as comfortable as Rampage is in the Octagon or ring. For perspective; When Rampage fought his first Pride fight, a loss to Sakuraba that left him at 10-2 as a pro, Ryan Bader was turning 18 years old. When Bader won his first Pac 10 Championship in 2003, Rampage was 15-3 as a pro after just defeating Igor Vovchanchyn at Pride 22. When Bader got his first win as an MMA fighter, Rampage was 26-6 as a pro. Nothing is going to happen in the Octagon on Saturday night that Rampage hasn’t seen before. After losing to Rashad Evans, Rampage put together two wins over Matt Hammil and Lyoto Machida. He then fought current champion Jon Jones and lost in the fourth round by submission.
One thing people always do is sell Rampage short on his take down defense, and thats a shame because he has a great sprawl. Its quick too. That is the bad news for Bader in this fight, as most of his take downs are straight double leg, and those aren’t usually that big of a problem for Rampage. If Bader can switch it up, and go for other take downs or inside trips, he will have a much better chance of getting the fight to the floor. That will mean he will be clinched up Rampage, and that’s not probably not that great of idea either. Bader is going to have a small reach advantage, but Rampage isn’t timid about taking punches to land them. I think Rampage does enough early in the fight to win the first and second rounds, and Bader takes the third trying to mount a come back. Look for Rampage to frustrate Bader by stopping his takedowns, and coming forward to strike with him. It wouldn’t shock me to see Rampage put away Ryan Bader with a left hook, but I am saying Rampage by decision.
Light Heavyweight bout: Ryan Bader Vs Quinton Jackson
Height Reach Stance Age
Record UFC Record Last 5 Streak Average Fight Time
STRIKING Striking Accuracy Defense
GRAPPLING Take down Accuracy Take down Defense
6’2 74in Orthodox 28
13-2 6-2 3-2 -1 8:00
6’1 73in Orthodox 33
32-9 7-3 3-2 -1 10:44